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c/trialwatch·posted 2 years ago by u/alcohol_aversion

[PSA] SURMOUNT is not what most of this community thinks it is

Trial Data Clean Column ×5 Slow Clap ×1 Long Haul ×3

Right, the TRIUMPH question again, but with numbers this time.

I have 5 data points over 38 weeks. The pattern is consistent enough that I do not think it is chance, and boring enough that nobody is going to screenshot it, which is usually a good sign.

The thing I would flag for anyone new: the effect I am describing showed up at week 80, not week 34. People give up long before the interesting part.

Interested in whether this matches other people's logs or whether I am an outlier.

8,245 up / 864 down91% upvoted35 commentsid 62b82l31 May 2024

35 comments

17 in this archive, depth 5

best — the order this archive was captured in

u/hazard_ratio_halstats394 points·2 years ago
this is the third time this week and i love it every time
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u/milos_trevino384 points·2 years ago

This is correct. Discontinuation arms show the regain reality.

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u/nayeli_fonseca312 points·2 years ago

Dead space in the needle hub holds a small but non-trivial volume. On low-volume draws that can be several units.

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u/ms_fragmenter244 points·2 years ago

Sceptical. If this were true we would see it reflected in the data and we do not.

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u/nikhil_lindqvist56 points·2 years ago

the 5 week readout is different from the 32 week readout

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u/nordic_pricing259 points·2 years ago

Dead space in the needle hub holds a small but non-trivial volume. On low-volume draws that can be several units.

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u/formulary_fighterappeals0 points·2 years ago

This is correct. Discontinuation arms show the regain reality.

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u/tomas_kimani1 point·2 years ago·edited

Respectfully this is a sample of one presented as a finding.

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u/laila_almeida1 point·2 years ago

event rates are more informative than hazard ratios alone

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u/alcohol_aversionOP1 point·2 years ago

the relative risk reduction in headlines is not the whole story

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u/renal_outcomes_rMOD147 points·2 years ago

Flair changed to match the content. Read the sidebar before posting next time and we are square.

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u/aurel_mwangi-15 points·2 years ago

STEP, SURMOUNT, SURPASS, SELECT, FLOW, TRIUMPH — read the appendix

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u/yusuf_achebe108 points·2 years ago

dropout handling matters, especially on GI-heavy populations

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u/tove_ogunleye199 points·2 years ago

That is net peptide content, not purity. Different number, different meaning.

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u/receptor_bias_rick163 points·2 years ago

event rates are more informative than hazard ratios alone

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u/cloudy_vial_carol91 points·2 years ago

Strongly agree. Phase 2 is investigational, not conclusive.

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u/rina_bergstrom79 points·2 years ago

the discontinuation arms are the interesting part, not the endpoint endpoints

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