[Vendor] JEEP six orders in, zero problems, and i am suspicious of my own luck
Six orders from JEEP over about fourteen months. Guangzhou to Manchester every time. Nothing has gone wrong. Not one thing. Which is genuinely making me nervous, because I have read enough of this community to know that a clean run is a sample, not a property. So I am posting the record rather than the conclusion.…
Not going to talk you out of it. That claim-versus-measured agreement is the strongest signal available and yours is tight in both directions.
The thing I would say: agreement matters more than the absolute number. A vendor claiming 99.0 and delivering 98.9 is telling you something about their process. A vendor claiming 99.5 and delivering 98.6 is telling you something about their marketing department.
that framing is genuinely useful, thank you. i had been reading the numbers as "is it high" rather than "does the claim hold"
this is the whole point of the vendor test log columns. claimed, measured, delta. the delta predicts your next order. the absolute number predicts nothing.
i have read that table forty times and only just understood why it is laid out that way
then it is badly labelled and that is on us. saying so in c/meta.
six is more than most people have and still not enough to be a property. carry on being nervous, it is the correct amount of nervous.