unpopular opinion: most of what gets said here about hazard ratio is guesswork
unpopular opinion: most of what gets said here about hazard ratio is guesswork, which sounds obvious until you try to state the evidence for it. Went looking for the registered protocol to see whether the endpoint had changed. It had not, which was reassuring and worth checking. How to read one of these papers in…
Same. A press release is a claim about a result; the publication is the result.
Retitled: the original quoted a diabetes endpoint as an obesity result.
Agreed. Half the arguments on this site are two people quoting different trials at each other without noticing.
Is that intention-to-treat or completers?
Agreed on comparators. "Superior" means nothing until you know superior to what and at what dose.
phase 2 finds a dose, phase 3 measures the effect
Which trial, and which arm?
A confidence interval is the range of effects compatible with the data. Two trials with overlapping intervals have not disagreed, whatever their point estimates look like next to each other.
SELECT was cardiovascular outcomes, not weight