[Discussion] the DHL advice in here is 3 years out of date
Thinking out loud about this: the DHL advice in here is 3 years out of date.
3 years — those are the numbers, and they are the ones I am willing to defend.
A lane is an origin, a destination, a carrier and a season. Change any one and the distribution changes, which is why supplier-level shipping averages are close to meaningless.
Total transit decomposes into first mile, international leg, clearance and last mile. Only the first two are meaningfully under the shipper’s control and most reported variance sits in the last two.
Tell me where this is wrong. That is the useful part of posting it.
best — the order this archive was captured in
Four observations is not a distribution. The lane tables here only became predictive once individual routes had a dozen or more reports behind them.
This. A quoted lead time that holds is worth more than a fast one that does not.
Asked for the month rather than removing. Without it the report cannot be compared to anything.
Asked GL Biochem which lines they hold regionally before ordering and got a straight list back. Changed what I ordered and when.
What lead time were you quoted at checkout?
Origin, destination, carrier and month?
Packaging is assessable on arrival with no equipment: rigid outer, no movement inside, the cold element sized to the transit rather than to the box.
Median transit is the useful statistic. The minimum is a story about one shipment and the mean is dragged around by a single hold.
declared value and description are the shipper’s decision, ask what they use
Not convinced by four data points. That is not a lane yet, it is an anecdote with a route attached.
Regional stock replaces an international lane with a domestic one. That is a structural change to the distribution, not a marginal improvement, and it is why the warehouse question matters more than the carrier question.
Cosigning the seasonality point. February and August on the same lane are different animals.
reship policy in writing before you order
ask which lines are actually held in the regional warehouse
Same lane in a different season for comparison?
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A quoted lead time is a commitment you can evaluate. Measuring quoted against actual across several orders tells you more about an operation than the raw speed does.
Same. KP quoted 13 days on my lane and it landed at 9, which is exactly what you want from a quote.
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